Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.005092 0.005373 0.005663 0.005985 0.006335 0.006703 0.007120
2025-12-14 0.004606 0.005015 0.005458 0.005973 0.006561 0.007214 0.007998
2025-12-21 0.004190 0.004652 0.005165 0.005782 0.006510 0.007348 0.008395
2025-12-28 0.003986 0.004498 0.005081 0.005800 0.006673 0.007711 0.009058
2026-01-04 0.003849 0.004405 0.005051 0.005867 0.006885 0.008131 0.009803
2026-01-11 0.003677 0.004257 0.004942 0.005824 0.006948 0.008360 0.010311
2026-01-18 0.003543 0.004145 0.004867 0.005813 0.007043 0.008625 0.010875
2026-01-25 0.003407 0.004021 0.004768 0.005763 0.007080 0.008810 0.011336
2026-02-01 0.003357 0.004002 0.004797 0.005875 0.007331 0.009291 0.012238
2026-02-08 0.003254 0.003909 0.004728 0.005851 0.007395 0.009515 0.012782
2026-02-15 0.003168 0.003834 0.004675 0.005846 0.007482 0.009770 0.013387
2026-02-22 0.003055 0.003720 0.004567 0.005758 0.007446 0.009846 0.013717
2026-03-01 0.002953 0.003617 0.004471 0.005685 0.007428 0.009948 0.014103
2026-03-08 0.002881 0.003551 0.004422 0.005675 0.007500 0.010186 0.014723
2026-03-15 0.002752 0.003405 0.004260 0.005497 0.007317 0.010026 0.014671
2026-03-22 0.002700 0.003362 0.004235 0.005514 0.007421 0.010312 0.015389
2026-03-29 0.002669 0.003344 0.004243 0.005576 0.007595 0.010716 0.016345
2026-04-05 0.002604 0.003278 0.004183 0.005536 0.007610 0.010864 0.016856
2026-04-12 0.002552 0.003228 0.004143 0.005526 0.007668 0.011085 0.017516
2026-04-19 0.002491 0.003165 0.004082 0.005479 0.007668 0.011206 0.017998
2026-04-26 0.002481 0.003172 0.004121 0.005583 0.007911 0.011752 0.019347
2026-05-03 0.002433 0.003123 0.004078 0.005561 0.007948 0.011944 0.020014
2026-05-10 0.002392 0.003083 0.004047 0.005556 0.008013 0.012187 0.020808